Latest North Shore Polls
Loss of Algoma-Manitoulin-Kapuskasing riding may help Conservatives in the Soo
Latest projection from poll aggregating site 338Canada.com shows Mark Carney’s Liberals ahead nationally, but essentially still within the margin of error.
With exactly two weeks to go before the final vote in this year’s federal election, and with both the French and English debates cued up for this week (Wednesday and Thursday on CBC), the latest polls for the North Shore show the Liberals strong in Sudbury and Sudbury East-Manitoulin-Nickel Belt, while the Conservatives are making a play to shift Sault Ste. Marie-Algoma blue by defeating Liberal incumbent Terry Sheehan.
Sheehan won the 2021 election by just 247 votes, fending off a strong Conservative challenger. Of course, the new riding of Sault Ste. Marie-Algoma has added tens of thousands of new voters to the rolls (absorbing most of the former Algoma-Manitoulin-Kapuskasing riding). It would appear a strong Conservative contingent from that now defunct electoral district may swing Sault Ste. Marie-Algoma away from the Liberals.
While the NDP’s Carol Hughes won Algoma-Manitoulin-Kapuskasing in 2021 (with 15,895 votes), the Conservatives took 10,885 votes in a losing cause, to the third-place Liberals 8,888. The last Sault Ste. Marie NDP result was just not enough, it would appear, to carry on Hughes’ legacy with a new orange riding even if all her previous voters stay NDP this time.
According to 338Canada.com, here’s how the three North Shore ridings currently stand:
Liberal incumbent Marc Serré currently has a 14 point lead over Conservative Jim Belanger and NDP Andréane Chénier. Late entrant Sharilynne St. Louis of the People’s Party of Canada is far back with 3% of the polled vote. — image courtesy 338Canada.com.
Liberal incumbent Viviane Lapointe sits 21 points ahead of rivals Ian Symington (Conservative) and Nadia Verrelli (NDP). People’s Party of Canada candidate Nicholas Bonderoff is not even registering in an aggregate of local polls. — image courtesy 338Canada.com.
Conservative candidate and former Sault Ste. Marie Police Chief Hugh Stevenson has opened an 8 point lead over Liberal incumbent Terry Sheehan, with the NDP’s Laura Mayer trailing at 9% overall. — image courtesy 338Canada.com.
338Canada.com aggregates poll results nationally and riding-by-riding, taking in and ranking all available polls. This gives as accurate a picture of the voting landscape as possible within a polling environment that can often show skewed results in individual surveys.
Readers are reminded that all polls and projections are merely snapshots of voter intention at the time the poll is taken, and are not a guarantee of election results. Whether you intend to vote your preference or strategically, North Shore residents are encouraged to make sure their vote is counted.